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Resilience Project
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Previous Posts

Is there a ‘meta’-crisis? Yes. February 4, 2026
Islands Apart: The Mystery of Covid-19 Pandemic Deaths, the Global Health Security Index and Island Jurisdictions January 14, 2026
Mapping Pathways Through the Polycrisis: The Cascade Institute’s New Model for Navigating Global Systemic Risk November 11, 2025
Beyond Local Hazards: Why New Zealand’s Resilience Thinking Must Expand to Global Catastrophic Risk November 10, 2025
NZ faces medicines shortage if global trade cut off November 6, 2025
The great divide: How different Covid-19 control strategies shaped pandemic outcomes October 22, 2025
Majority public support for government action on catastrophic risks September 25, 2025
Food Security and Global Catastrophic Risk – presentation to Environment Canterbury 10 Sept 2025 September 18, 2025
A Vision for National Resilience: Our submission on DPMC’s Long-term Insights Briefing August 25, 2025
Building Real Resilience: Our Submissions on NZ’s Fuel and Infrastructure Plans July 31, 2025
Health-impaired world leaders raise nuclear war fears July 14, 2025
New US NAS Report: How Nuclear War Would Cascade Through Society and Economy July 6, 2025
Think Beyond Climate: What New Zealand Can Learn from the European Urban Resilience Forum 2025 July 1, 2025
Changing the Rules to Soften Humanity’s Hard Landing: A Systemic Risk Approach to Everything Going Wrong at Once June 26, 2025
The Hard Landing Ahead – Why Current Disaster Strategies Are Doomed to Fail June 18, 2025
Fictional Catastrophes, Reel Lessons: What 12 Critically Acclaimed Films Reveal About Surviving Global Catastrophes May 14, 2025
Catastrophe-Proof Food Security for New Zealand: Blending Near-urban Agriculture, Strategic Crop Selection, and Biofuels as Insurance against Global Catastrophes May 7, 2025
Beyond 90 Days: A Critical Analysis of NZ’s 2025 Fuel Security Study March 5, 2025
Managing the Risk of Catastrophic Electricity Loss: Webinar and Panel Discussion 26 Feb 2025 February 28, 2025
Beyond the Blast: Professor Alan Robock on How 100 Nuclear Weapons Could Trigger Global Agricultural Collapse February 11, 2025
Catastrophic Electricity Loss: Famine and Food Security February 1, 2025
When the Lights Go Out: Understanding the Risk of Catastrophic Electrical Failure January 27, 2025
Learning from Covid-19: Why NZ Needs a Broader View of Catastrophic Risk December 9, 2024
Global Catastrophe Assessment: What RAND’s Landmark Report Tells Us About Civilisation’s Biggest Threats November 12, 2024
The Critical Minerals That Matter: Aotearoa/NZ’s Basic Needs in a Global Catastrophe October 22, 2024
Lost at Sea: Shipping in NZ through a Catastrophic Risk Lens October 16, 2024
Lessons from the Cambridge Conference on Catastrophic Risk 2024 October 6, 2024
NZ’s Fuel Security Study: An opportunity to ensure survival June 20, 2024
New study – local biofuels would increase NZ survival chances after global catastrophe April 7, 2024
MAIN REPORT: Aotearoa NZ, Global Catastrophe, and Resilience Options November 16, 2023
Kōrero on Catastrophe: NZCat webinar/panel discussion on resilience to nuclear war and other global risks October 29, 2023
Expert Views on Aotearoa NZ’s Vulnerability and Resilience to Nuclear War and other Global Catastrophes September 22, 2023
Global Risk and Aotearoa NZ’s resilience: Podcast discussion with Peter Griffin September 20, 2023
Large volcanic eruptions originating elsewhere threaten NZ and other remote nations September 12, 2023
Where do NZ political parties stand on long-term and catastrophic risk? Survey answer: nowhere August 20, 2023
Rethinking Risk: Towards a More Comprehensive Security Strategy for New Zealand August 7, 2023
Securing New Zealand’s Future: Join the National Conversation on Critical Infrastructure Resilience July 31, 2023
Ready or Not? New research on the Global Health Security Index and implications for pandemic preparedness July 19, 2023
Surveying Survival: What Experts Think About New Zealand’s Resilience to Nuclear Winter June 12, 2023
Food for thought: Frost resistant crops to hedge against the impacts of nuclear winter May 23, 2023
Nuclear War – help NZ insure against global catastrophe: Complete the NZCat Survey May 15, 2023
Risk and Resilience in the Face of Global Catastrophe: A Closer Look at New Zealand’s Food Security April 27, 2023
NZ Economic Resilience: Submission to the Productivity Commission – Focus on Global Catastrophic Risks April 13, 2023
Yes, NZ needs a systematic National Risk Assessment; but we must not repeat others’ mistakes March 28, 2023
Revolutionising National Risk Assessment (NRA): improved methods and stakeholder engagement to tackle global catastrophe and existential risks March 21, 2023
A Historical Volcanic Winter & Future Sunlight-Blocking Catastrophes: New Study March 7, 2023
Workshop on Nuclear War/Winter & NZ: Wellbeing of millions and $1 trillion plus at risk, strategic resilience must become bread & butter NZ policy February 20, 2023
US takes action to avert human existential catastrophe: The Global Catastrophic Risk Management Act (2022) February 5, 2023
Nuclear War and NZ: Impact and Mitigation Approaches December 9, 2022
Development of a National Security Strategy (plus NEMA) is one part of a National Risk Approach December 5, 2022
NZ’s National Security Draft Long-term Insights Briefing (LTIB): Excellent Progress but Scope for Improvement November 20, 2022
Islands and global catastrophic risks: a seminar at the Cambridge Centre for the Study of Existential Risk October 25, 2022
Introducing the Aotearoa NZ Catastrophe Resilience Project (NZCat) September 13, 2022
Islands, nuclear winter, and trade disruption as an existential risk factor August 7, 2022
NZ and Global Crises: Brief reply to Reuben Steff July 30, 2022
‘The End of the World is Just the Beginning’ and the value of a NZ National Catastrophe Resilience Strategy July 18, 2022
Global catastrophe and risk analysis: Podcast smorgasbord June 6, 2022
Cambridge Conference on Catastrophic Risk 2022 May 5, 2022
Sustained Resilience: the impact of nuclear war on New Zealand and how to mitigate catastrophe April 7, 2022
Putin and the Bomb: Why New Zealand national risk assessments should include planning for the potential impacts of nuclear winter March 13, 2022
Current and future generations must flourish: Time for a long-term and global perspective on pandemic and other catastrophic risks November 26, 2021
An Australian politician’s take on populism and existential risks November 21, 2021
Covid-19 the Prequel: Lessons learned from a day-by-day account before the WHO uttered ‘pandemic’ November 11, 2021
Creative writing as leverage into complex problems October 25, 2021
Optimism about the Future of Humanity: a conference on existential risks October 10, 2021
Few in the public sector foresaw Covid-19, what are we not seeing next? September 1, 2021
Covid-19 was no black swan, but a paradigmatic black elephant July 21, 2021
The ‘trivial’ US$165 billion cost of global health security July 16, 2021
Why the Covid-19 lab-leak theory is a big deal June 10, 2021
SARS-CoV-2: A modern Greek Tragedy? May 10, 2021
Island Refuges: How Australia and New Zealand could cooperate to protect humanity from catastrophic biological threats and nuclear winter April 26, 2021
Risk and Resilience in Aotearoa/New Zealand April 20, 2021
“Green zones” pave the way to eradication of SARS-CoV-2 March 17, 2021
The COVID-19 house fire and the unbearable silence of fire alarms February 22, 2021
Valid Assessment and the Future of Health Security October 28, 2020
The algorithm, the asshole, and the virus August 10, 2020
Policy Quarterly Journal: Focus on COVID-19 and New Zealand August 10, 2020
Worse than COVID-19: More can and must be done to prevent the greatest threats to human survival July 28, 2020
The Global Health Security Index (GHSI) is a good starting point on the road to minimising biological threats June 11, 2020
COVID-19 and Google mobility data in New Zealand and other countries April 15, 2020
Alert Level 4 will minimise long-term pain March 22, 2020
In the face of catastrophe: The rationale for border closure and other significant steps March 20, 2020
Are Humans ‘Human Compatible’? December 6, 2019
Much work ahead to complete New Zealand’s pandemic preparedness November 10, 2019
The promise of AI in healthcare October 23, 2019
Pandemic Catastrophe: ‘Lifeboat’ is the wrong metaphor October 4, 2019
AI, Employment and Ethics September 29, 2019
Guyon, we are the problem, not Pharmac May 26, 2019
A Strategy for Future Employment Wellbeing in the face of AI and Digital Transformation January 25, 2019
Surveillance Capitalism: Ought we permit behavioural data to exist? January 21, 2019
‘Healthy News’ labelling – a discussion at Ben Reid’s request November 22, 2018
Keeping our eye on the laser phish: Information pollution, risk, and global priorities October 29, 2018
AI content targeting may violate human rights October 24, 2018
Nuclear insanity has never been worse October 24, 2018
Growing the AI talent pool: We need deep learning September 18, 2018
Efficient Cancer Care in New Zealand: Lessons from five years of Australian research literature September 9, 2018
Economic evidence for closing border in a severe pandemic: now we need the values discussion August 8, 2018
What does taking an ethical approach to digital media and artificial intelligence mean? August 5, 2018
Do we care about future people? May 15, 2018
A response to the AI Forum NZ’s ‘Shaping a Future New Zealand’ report May 6, 2018

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